昨天琼斯突然HWG，让本来以为要压哨签约的狗哥惊喜不已。不过，更让人意外的是，从目前意大利媒体的表现来看，似乎国米的转会工作还在继续！一时间，各种半真半假的流言蜚语喧嚣四起。
那么今天就简单聊聊这些传言。
一、亚历山大-斯坦科维奇或寻求离队可能？
为什么这个消息被很多人认可呢？
第一，因为这条消息的来源，是前几天刚刚被狗哥肯定过的国际米兰跟队记者马里。这个记者一般情况下是不太会乱传消息的，就像狗哥一般情况下是不会乱加JS微信一样——除非没忍住。
所以，马里的消息可信度是略高一些，但也只是略高而已，完全没必要太当回事儿；更何况在报道当中，马里很巧妙的强调了这只是一种推测，同时在最后补充说到：目前斯5根本没有对任何一种离队可能开放交谈的可能性！
第二，在琼斯加盟之后，斯5被认为是中场第7人，在3-5-2阵型当中，首发中场只有3个位置，那么第7人，甚至只能做替补的替补，表现机会和上场时间必然会少之又少，这对于只有21岁、志在继承父亲志向的斯坦科维奇来说，绝非好事！
不过，狗哥却认为，这个推论看似无懈可击，但前提就已经错了——斯5的定位，绝不是中场第7人——我认为，或许赛季刚开始的两场比赛会有一个过度，但随着赛程的深入，姆希塔良会作为老将，扮演上个赛季阿切尔比的角色，临危则受命，否则将会在多数情况下作壁上观，以备不时之需；而斯5将会取而代之，成为中场的主力轮换球员。
退一步讲，即使斯5是中路的第7顺位，也绝不会缺少登场比赛的机会，理由如下：
上个赛季，中场出场次数最多的球员，是当时的新援苏契奇的50次出场，第二名是泽林斯基的49次，而原本是后腰铁主力的恰20，由于伤病困扰，单赛季各项赛季只出场了30次；姆希塔良39次；巴雷拉45次；弗拉泰西33次。
新赛季，有几个问题需要我们综合考虑：
1、恰20上赛季只出场了30次，今年又老一岁，同时本赛季已经进入合同年，能保持上赛季的出勤率就算不错了；
2、上个赛季，国际米兰顺利扛过了恰20受伤缺阵的那段日子，一方面因为苏契奇超出预期，另一方面就是因为泽林斯基被齐沃完全激活；更难能可贵的是，泽林斯基一整个赛季里，居然只因伤缺席了赛季初期的3场联赛！
3、上赛季的苏契奇出场次数最多，侧面证明了：原本中场组合在上个赛季出现了不稳定性；
4、我们能否指望泽林斯基能够再次完全健健康康一整个赛季？
5、姆希塔良续约了，但老将已经37岁了，国米与之续约时给球员的定位，还会是绝对首发吗？狗哥以为大概率不会。
6、巴雷拉太累了，上赛季弗拉泰西对巴雷拉的轮换作用几乎没有，本赛季，我们能否让巴雷拉也享受一下赛前满血登场的感觉？
7、根据近六年的国际米兰战绩不难发现一个规律：大赛年（比如欧洲杯、世界杯年），国际米兰基本都会以联赛冠军为主，欧冠比赛为辅；反之，在没有国际大赛的非大赛年，国米反而会努力尝试去追逐一下欧冠的上限，甚至不惜战略性的将联赛目标放置于次一级地位。
显然，今年是非大赛年。国米的侧重点，大概率会是欧冠联赛！但作为卫冕冠军，国米又不太可能真的放弃联赛不管；所以新赛季，国际米兰将会有数不清的一周双赛、魔鬼赛程；国米中场的身材普遍不算高，没有肌肉流，中场的平均年龄相对较大，更容易在密集的赛程中受伤。。。等等。
如此综合衡量，中场三个位置预留7名球员，真的并不算多！
所以，斯坦科维奇离队？狗哥有些笃定——绝无可能。
二、第五前锋？
按照欧冠的报名规则，目前国米有本队青训4人：迪马尔科、皮奥、斯坦科维奇、迪詹纳罗；本国青训3人：巴斯托尼、巴雷拉、普罗维德尔；像博维奥、莫斯科尼等小将，则完全可以通过B名单，不占用名额。
那么显然，由于本国青训少1人，所以本赛季国际米兰的欧冠名单将只有24人——而现在如果算上琼斯、4名前锋、3名门将、6名中场、6名中卫、4名边翼卫（迪马尔科、恩里克、斯彭斯、迪乌夫），总计正好是24人！
我们先不说，传言当中所谓的几个第五前锋潜在对象到底靠不靠谱，从欧冠名单来说，如果想要让这个第五前锋成功报名欧冠，就必须要在现有的24人当中，剔除一名球员。但你看看现在的名额，几乎没有什么可以动的余地。
所以狗哥认为，只有一种情况发生，国际米兰才会继续引援——现有24名球员当中，有球员在转会窗最后几天时间里被成功挖角了，并且给出的价格，是国际米兰俱乐部无法拒绝的！
比如——只是用来做假设——比如如果有俱乐部5000万报价博尼，3500万报价路易斯-恩里克，7000万报价亚历山大-斯坦科维奇等等。
至于几个人选，首先是阿森纳的马丁内利，25岁的速度型球员，哪怕最乐观的人评估，他的转会价格也不太可能低于4000万；更重要的是，马丁内利的工资高达18万周薪，这是一笔在国米只有绝对核心球员才能拿得到的薪资水平。所以，且不论是否适配，就工资这一项，马丁内利就已经于国米无缘了。
然后是罗德里戈，这就有点不着边际了。首先，他还得养半年伤，体检那一关就可能过不了；再说，买过来养半年，2027年2月份复出之后再找一个月的状态，适不适应意甲还要两说，图什么呢？第二，罗德里戈能便宜吗？所以这个，有点不靠谱。
最后是伊卡尔迪。所以说还是要感慨一下，中国球迷就是世界上最好的球迷，最善良也最记得住好。但伊卡尔迪回归国米是有巨大风险的。
在他离开国米之前，他是国际米兰的队长，是蓝黑更衣室的绝对领袖，拥有绝对的权威；但是，现在的队长，是劳塔罗，是当年还是只能在替补时间里让伊卡尔迪下场多休息一下的小跟班儿。如果这时候伊卡尔迪回来了，请问，你让劳塔罗如何自处？又让伊卡尔迪如何自处？一代新王见旧王？那还不得打起来？
所以，哪怕只是为了更衣室的稳定，一山不容二虎，国米也绝不可能签回二弟。一直以来都不会。有些人，离开了就是离开了，她不会回来，你也不应该允许她回来。
最后总结一下，在阿斯拉尼和马索林确定了租借蒙扎之后，狗哥觉得，接下来的这段时间，一直到转会窗彻底结束，国际米兰高层的唯一任务，就是守住核心框架不被挖角！完全不需要去主动破坏更衣室的平衡和氛围。
目前国米的阵容已经成型，可以安心的交给齐沃了！屏幕前的老哥，你觉得呢？
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