皇马1比2不敌拜仁,本赛季或四大皆空,姆巴佩的金球奖又悬了

文/姜诗华

北京时间4月8日凌晨,备受关注的一场欧冠四分之一淘汰赛第一回合在伯纳乌举行,尽管姆巴佩为皇马打进一球,但德甲霸主拜仁还是凭借路易斯-迪亚斯和凯恩的进球,客场2-1战胜对手,一脚已经迈进了欧冠四强的门槛。而主场输球的皇马,本赛季或许又要四大皆空。其实很多东西都是命中注定,姆巴佩的金球奖看上去又悬了。

数据统计显示,这是拜仁时隔14年再次在欧冠中击败皇马,终结此前2平6负的8场不胜,上一次取胜还是2011-12赛季海因克斯带队时期。同时,这也是德甲班霸自2001年以来首次在伯纳乌取胜。而另一项数据则对皇马并不友好:展望次回合,皇马此前7次欧战淘汰赛首回合主场失利,最终仅1次成功晋级。而拜仁此前15次欧冠淘汰赛首回合赢球,最终全部取得晋级。

算上输给拜仁的这场比赛,皇马最近遭遇了两连败,西甲不敌马略卡后,欧冠主场1-2不敌拜仁。皇马目前西甲落后榜首7分,欧冠1/4决赛首回合主场1-2输给劲头正旺的拜仁,次回合客场作战。国王杯方面,皇马1/8决赛爆冷输给西乙球队阿尔瓦塞特。西超杯决赛,皇马则是2-3不敌死敌巴萨。很显然,皇马本赛季四大皆空的概率正在与日俱增,而最大的输家当属姆巴佩。虽然今年夏天有世界杯,但只有法国队夺冠且姆巴佩发挥上佳才有机会角逐金球奖,两者缺一不可,但问题是:这支法国队夺冠的概率,比彩票中奖的概率,高不了多少?

所以,从概率来看,皇马唱一首凉凉,姆巴佩伴舞!

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